Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.01/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.80
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.5 Crosses 9.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.16 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
06.03.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ CSA
20.11.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
14.07.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 2-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora got the better of Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 58% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 42%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Aurora and 1.25 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aurora 55%, draw 23%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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