CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
CA River Plate 1-3 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol got the better of CA River Plate 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA River Plate had 37% of the ball to CA Penarol's 63%, shots finished 7-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CA River Plate and 2.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
CA River Plate 1-3 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 23%, draw 27%, CA Penarol 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.