Farnborough 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.95
Over Pick
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.43
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
28%
3.19
6+
9%
11.4
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.46/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.28
+7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Farnborough Farnborough 2-3 HT 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
20.09.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
18.01.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.09.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 3-3 HT 3-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
23.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
15.08.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
0-2
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of Farnborough 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farnborough and 1.83 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Farnborough 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 41%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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