Southport vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Buxton — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Southport 1-1 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics
Southport and Buxton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 8-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Southport and 1.50 for Buxton.
What was the final score of Southport vs Buxton?
Southport 1-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Buxton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Southport 39%, draw 22%, Buxton 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.