Buxton vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Buxton vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Buxton 2-3 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Southport edged past Buxton 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Buxton had 57% of the ball to Southport's 43%, shots finished 12-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buxton and 1.50 for Southport.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Southport?
Buxton 2-3 Southport in the England - FA Cup on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Southport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Buxton 45%, draw 24%, Southport 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.