Southport vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Buxton — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Southport 3-2 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics
Southport edged past Buxton 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Southport had 45% of the ball to Buxton's 55%, shots finished 6-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southport and 1.75 for Buxton.
What was the final score of Southport vs Buxton?
Southport 3-2 Buxton in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Buxton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Southport 30%, draw 26%, Buxton 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.