Charlton Athletic vs Derby County Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Championship, 15 Aug 2026

Charlton Athletic
vs
Derby County
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
England - Championship – 2026/2027

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
🔒
Unlock the Analysis Engine One clear DECISION per match — recommended pick, stake and edge confidence. Create a free account and the whole board opens: every market, every match, no limits. Every finished match is free to review.

Charlton Athletic v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
🔒
Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
Register to Unlock

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Derby County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
30.09.2025 Derby County Derby County 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
27.02.2024 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
03.02.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İN1
18.02.2023 Derby County Derby County 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
06.08.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İN1
COMMENT Charlton Athletic vs Derby County
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Charlton Athletic have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Derby County's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.17 for Derby County.

When do Charlton Athletic and Derby County play?

Charlton Athletic play Derby County in the England - Championship on 15/08/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

Our model's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Derby County is an Derby County win at about 40% probability, priced 2.54 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Charlton Athletic 35%, draw 26%, Derby County 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
15 Aug 2026
14:30 Bolton Wanderers vs Preston North End Analysis →
17:00 Bristol City vs Millwall Analysis →
17:00 Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City Analysis →
17:00 Norwich City vs West Bromwich Analysis →
17:00 Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Stoke City vs Swansea City Analysis →