Independiente Del Valle 3-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
84%
1.18
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.39
No
59%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
60%
1/2
1%
1/X
2%
X/1
21%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Independiente Del Valle The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin The Market 9%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.58
0.52 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.40
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
435 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Delfin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
397 Passes 177
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2026 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
29.09.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
01.06.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
04.08.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-2 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3 - 2
AWAY Delfin
2.01 xG 0.72
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
556 Passes 181
93% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Del Valle edged past Delfin 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (62%) came in, no to both teams scoring (59%) didn't.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 71% of the ball to Delfin's 29%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.67 for Delfin.

Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin Result & Final Score

Independiente Del Valle 3 - 2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 84%, draw 11%, Delfin 5%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
15 Aug 2026
22:00 Manta vs Leones del Norte Analysis →