Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Aug 2026

Excelsior
vs
PSV Eindhoven
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2026/2027

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.08 xG 3.27
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
271 Passes 594
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-1 HT 4-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
27.09.2025 Excelsior Excelsior 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-4 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOK
02.04.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
08.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
COMMENT Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of PSV Eindhoven's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Excelsior and 3.50 for PSV Eindhoven.

When do Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven play?

Excelsior play PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/08/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model's prediction for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven is an PSV Eindhoven win at about 65% probability, priced 1.6 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Excelsior 16%, draw 18%, PSV Eindhoven 65%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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