Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Aug 2026

Utrecht
vs
AZ Alkmaar
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2026/2027

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
329 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2026 Utrecht Utrecht 2-0 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
26.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-1 HT 2-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
18.01.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
29.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.05.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-3 HT 3-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
03.12.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
COMMENT Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Utrecht have won 5 of their last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar.

When do Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar play?

Utrecht play AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/08/2026, kick-off 19:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our model's prediction for Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar is an AZ Alkmaar win at about 40% probability, priced 2.35 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Utrecht 38%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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