Nafta 1-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2026

Nafta
1 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Celje
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.56
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.7
6+
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
2%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nafta The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje The Market 48%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
1.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
Great Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
283 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Celje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Nafta Nafta 1-6 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
16.03.2025 Celje Celje 3-2 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
01.12.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
15.09.2024 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
22.11.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1 - 3
AWAY Celje
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Nafta vs Celje
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celje put daylight between themselves and Nafta 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 10-16.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Nafta against 2.60 for Celje.

Nafta vs Celje Result & Final Score

Nafta 1 - 3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nafta vs Celje Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nafta 29%, draw 25%, Celje 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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