Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.88
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
11%
7.31
X/2
12%
4.24
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.75
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 50%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.28/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.24
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.9 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
388 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
20.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
09.02.2018 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.09.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
14.04.2017 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 5-1 HT 3-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
28.11.2016 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-3
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.42 xG 2.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
497 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 65% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 35%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.42 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao?

Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 33%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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