Osasuna II 3-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.20/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.81
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-1 HT 2-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
22.10.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 2-3 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
3-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II beat Celta Vigo II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Osasuna II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 43% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 57%, shots finished 10-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osasuna II and 3.50 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Celta Vigo II?

Osasuna II 3-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 35%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo II 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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