Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.5pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
0.97/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
-21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.04.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 2-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi saw off Guillermo Brown 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 38% / 27% — and on the day Arsenal Sarandi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Guillermo Brown?

Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 35%, draw 38%, Guillermo Brown 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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