Estudiantes Caseros 2-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +6%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
27.04.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
15.10.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
09.07.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
28.02.2015 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros and Tristan Suarez shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tristan Suarez led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.60 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Tristan Suarez?

Estudiantes Caseros 2-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 38%, draw 32%, Tristan Suarez 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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