Deportivo Madryn 1-0 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +30%
1.11/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
0W-0D-2L
AWAY San Telmo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
28.04.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
06.05.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn nicked a narrow win over San Telmo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Deportivo Madryn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Telmo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 2.00 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 39%, draw 34%, San Telmo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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