San Telmo 2-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.20/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
06.05.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Madryn 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Telmo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?

San Telmo 2-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 45%, draw 29%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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