Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -12%
1.44/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.08
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
28.04.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-3 HT 0-3 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
15.03.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.00 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 51%, draw 26%, Club Atletico Guemes 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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