Club Atletico Guemes 1-3 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.89/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.13
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
23.07.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
15.03.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste saw off Club Atletico Guemes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Ferro Carril Oeste made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.67 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-3 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 36%, draw 33%, Ferro Carril Oeste 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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