Kocaelispor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kocaelispor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals
Kocaelispor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Manisa FK
T1L
2-1
HT 2-1
Manisa FK
T1L
2-1
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
T1L
6-1
HT 2-1
Kocaelispor
S2-B
Kocaelispor 1-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics
Manisa FK edged past Kocaelispor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Kocaelispor had 47% of the ball to Manisa FK's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.14 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kocaelispor.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 2.60 for Manisa FK.
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Manisa FK?
Kocaelispor 1-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Manisa FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 49%, draw 25%, Manisa FK 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.