Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Sep 2025

Atletico San Luis
1-1 HT 1-0
Tijuana
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.48/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.8 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tijuana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.04.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
20.07.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
18.02.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-3 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.02.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK

Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-1
AWAY Tijuana
1.07 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
268 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis and Tijuana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico San Luis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 49% of the ball to Tijuana's 51%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.07 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.50 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?

Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 44%, draw 23%, Tijuana 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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