Queretaro vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Queretaro v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Queretaro 0-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey edged past Queretaro 1-0 on the road.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Monterrey saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.14 to 1.54 — on chances created, Monterrey won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Queretaro against 2.00 for Monterrey.
Queretaro vs Monterrey Result & Final Score
Queretaro 0 - 1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Queretaro vs Monterrey Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 19%, draw 23%, Monterrey 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.