Swindon Supermarine 2-0 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.38
Over
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
2.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.84
+37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 5-2 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNFAT
06.02.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 1-6 HT 1-3 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 0-5 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine FAK
22.10.2022 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-2 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine got the better of Winchester City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 2.00 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Winchester City?

Swindon Supermarine 2-0 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 41%, draw 28%, Winchester City 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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