İspanya U21 6-0 Malta U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
23%
Over Pick
77%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1
10%
28.5
2-3
32%
4.5
4-5
35%
2.5
6+
23%
1.8
Value flag · 2-3 at 4.5 — our 32% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
24%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
84%
-11.9pp
12%
Draw
8%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta U21 EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.20/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.35
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
380 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 81%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.4
23.3 Crosses 3.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Malta U21
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
76% Ball Possession 24%
22 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-6 HT 0-3 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 U21
07.06.2022 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 7-1 HT 1-0 Malta U21 Malta U21 U21
12.11.2021 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-5 HT 0-3 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 U21
POST-MATCH İspanya U21 vs Malta U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U21 swept aside Malta U21 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (77%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals for İspanya U21 and 0.33 for Malta U21.

What was the final score of İspanya U21 vs Malta U21?

İspanya U21 6-0 Malta U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U21 vs Malta U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split İspanya U21 72%, draw 12%, Malta U21 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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