Gürcistan U21 2-1 Kuzey Makedonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan U21 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.94/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.18
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.8
20.3 Crosses 1.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 6
16.11.2023 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Gürcistan U21 Gürcistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan U21
2-1
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gürcistan U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan U21 edged past Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gürcistan U21 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gürcistan U21 had 62% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya U21's 38%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Gürcistan U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

Gürcistan U21 2-1 Kuzey Makedonya U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gürcistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan U21 61%, draw 22%, Kuzey Makedonya U21 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gürcistan U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gürcistan U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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