Polonya U21 3-3 Almanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.19/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.74
+25% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
14.0 Crosses 21.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya U21
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Almanya U21
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.64 xG 1.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 395
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 3-1 HT 0-1 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
07.06.2022 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 1-2 HT 1-1 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 U21
12.11.2021 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 0-4 HT 0-3 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
15.11.2016 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U21
3-3
AWAY Almanya U21
1.73 xG 0.95
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
187 Passes 491
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya U21 vs Almanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U21 and Almanya U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Almanya U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Polonya U21 had 31% of the ball to Almanya U21's 69%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Polonya U21 and 1.25 for Almanya U21.

What was the final score of Polonya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Polonya U21 3-3 Almanya U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polonya U21 31%, draw 24%, Almanya U21 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almanya U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almanya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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