Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sırbistan U21 v Ukrayna U21 — Team-Based Signals
Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Sırbistan U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Sırbistan U21 nicked a narrow win over Ukrayna U21 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ukrayna U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 2.10, about 48% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Ukrayna U21 saw more of the ball, 76% to 24%, shots finished 4-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ukrayna U21 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.80 a game for Sırbistan U21 against 1.40 for Ukrayna U21.
Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Result & Final Score
Sırbistan U21 1 - 0 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan U21 32%, draw 27%, Ukrayna U21 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.