Sırbistan U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
46%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
7%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
44%
-12.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.57/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.64
-56% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan U21
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Ukrayna U21
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 U21
16.11.2021 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 U21
03.09.2021 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 U21
29.03.2011 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 2-2 HT 0-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 HAZ
27.03.2009 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan U21
1-0
AWAY Ukrayna U21
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan U21 nicked a narrow win over Ukrayna U21 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sırbistan U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sırbistan U21 had 24% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 76%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ukrayna U21 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sırbistan U21 and 1.40 for Ukrayna U21.

What was the final score of Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Sırbistan U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan U21 41%, draw 28%, Ukrayna U21 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sırbistan U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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