Fransa U21 1-2 Avusturya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.60/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.14
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
10.0 Crosses 11.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avusturya U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2023 Avusturya U21 Avusturya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
11.06.2019 Avusturya U21 Avusturya U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U21
1-2
AWAY Avusturya U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Fransa U21 vs Avusturya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya U21 squeezed past Fransa U21 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa U21 at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Fransa U21 had 67% of the ball to Avusturya U21's 33%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avusturya U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fransa U21 and 2.50 for Avusturya U21.

What was the final score of Fransa U21 vs Avusturya U21?

Fransa U21 1-2 Avusturya U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U21 vs Avusturya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fransa U21 60%, draw 21%, Avusturya U21 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fransa U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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