Faroe Adaları U21 1-0 Belarus U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.59
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.81 — our 49% vs market 48.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faroe Adaları U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.25/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.94
-3% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Faroe Adaları U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Belarus U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2 Corners 7
07.09.2023 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 2-3 HT 0-1 Faroe Adaları U21 Faroe Adaları U21 U21
POST-MATCH Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Faroe Adaları U21 squeezed past Belarus U21 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Faroe Adaları U21 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21?

Faroe Adaları U21 1-0 Belarus U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belarus U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları U21 37%, draw 25%, Belarus U21 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belarus U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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