15/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.81
— our 49% vs market 48.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
25%
Draw
26%
38%
Away Win
39%
48%
Under 2.5
47%
52%
Over 2.5
53%
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
45%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Faroe Adaları U21 v Belarus U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Faroe Adaları U21
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Belarus U21
EU Bookmakers 43%
-28% /
-28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
1.25/3.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.53/0.94
-3%
/
-62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+19%
/
+35%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
308 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Faroe Adaları U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Belarus U21
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
2
Corners
7
The Meetings
07.09.2023
Belarus U21
2-3
HT 0-1
Faroe Adaları U21
U21
2-3
HT 0-1
Faroe Adaları U21
U21
POST-MATCH
Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Faroe Adaları U21 squeezed past Belarus U21 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Faroe Adaları U21 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21?
Faroe Adaları U21 1-0 Belarus U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21?
Before kick-off our model rated an Belarus U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları U21 37%, draw 25%, Belarus U21 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Belarus U21)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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