İtalya U21 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

İtalya U21
1-1 HT 1-0
İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
European U21 – 2025

İtalya U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.1
Over Pick
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.08
2-3
37%
1.85
4-5
29%
3.07
6+
10%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U21 v İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.06/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.97
-11% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.1 Crosses 23.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

İtalya U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U21
4W-2D-0L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.71 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.11.2023 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 2-2 HT 1-1 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
14.06.2022 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 4-1 HT 2-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 U21
12.11.2021 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 0-2 HT 0-1 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
13.10.2020 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 U21
10.10.2019 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
24.03.2016 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 1-4 HT 1-2 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21

İtalya U21 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U21
1-1
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH İtalya U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U21 and İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İtalya U21 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U21 had 48% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İtalya U21 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İtalya U21 and 0.67 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21.

What was the final score of İtalya U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

İtalya U21 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İtalya U21 50%, draw 23%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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