Arnavutluk U21 1-0 Ermenistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.32
2-3
43%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.56
6+
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arnavutluk U21 win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.13/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/3.54
-7% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ermenistan U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Corners 4
08.09.2023 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 1-2 HT 0-2 Arnavutluk U21 Arnavutluk U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk U21
1-0
AWAY Ermenistan U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk U21 vs Ermenistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk U21 nicked a narrow win over Ermenistan U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arnavutluk U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arnavutluk U21 had 51% of the ball to Ermenistan U21's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Arnavutluk U21 1-0 Ermenistan U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk U21 54%, draw 29%, Ermenistan U21 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutluk U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutluk U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Gürcistan U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21 Analysis →
00:00 Faroe Adaları U21 vs Belarus U21 Analysis →
00:00 Fransa U21 vs Avusturya U21 Analysis →
00:00 Sırbistan U21 vs Ukrayna U21 Analysis →
00:00 Lüksemburg U21 vs Kuzey İrlanda U21 Analysis →
17:00 Bosna-Hersek U21 vs Güney Kıbrıs U21 Analysis →