Belçika U21 0-1 Macaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.08
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Belçika U21 win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.66/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/2.30
-72% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.4 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Macaristan U21
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.56 xG 0.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
422 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2023 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
11.09.2018 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 0-3 HT 0-1 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
26.03.2018 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 3-0 HT 1-0 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika U21
0-1
AWAY Macaristan U21
1.57 xG 0.83
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
676 Passes 240
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
48 Box Touches 14
43 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Belçika U21 vs Macaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan U21 nicked a narrow win over Belçika U21 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Belçika U21 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belçika U21 had 71% of the ball to Macaristan U21's 29%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.57 to 0.83 — on chances, Belçika U21 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belçika U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Belçika U21 and 0.00 for Macaristan U21.

What was the final score of Belçika U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Belçika U21 0-1 Macaristan U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Belçika U21 56%, draw 25%, Macaristan U21 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Belçika U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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