Estonya U21 3-1 Kosova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.86
Over
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.3
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
26%
3.58
6+
8%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-9% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kosova U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2023 Kosova U21 Kosova U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Estonya U21 Estonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya U21
3-1
AWAY Kosova U21
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Estonya U21 vs Kosova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estonya U21 beat Kosova U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kosova U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estonya U21 had 32% of the ball to Kosova U21's 68%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Estonya U21 vs Kosova U21?

Estonya U21 3-1 Kosova U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya U21 vs Kosova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kosova U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estonya U21 22%, draw 31%, Kosova U21 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kosova U21), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kosova U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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