Hırvatistan U21 3-2 Yunanistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No Pick
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.27
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.61
6+
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.58/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.37
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.8 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan U21
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Yunanistan U21
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 U21
13.10.2020 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 U21
03.09.2020 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 5-0 HT 4-0 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 U21
12.10.2018 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 U21
13.11.2017 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 U21
30.03.2015 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Hırvatistan U21 Hırvatistan U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan U21
3-2
AWAY Yunanistan U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan U21 vs Yunanistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan U21 nicked a narrow win over Yunanistan U21 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hırvatistan U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hırvatistan U21 had 46% of the ball to Yunanistan U21's 54%, shots finished 13-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hırvatistan U21 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hırvatistan U21 and 0.50 for Yunanistan U21.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan U21 vs Yunanistan U21?

Hırvatistan U21 3-2 Yunanistan U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan U21 vs Yunanistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan U21 45%, draw 27%, Yunanistan U21 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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