Norveç U21 5-1 Türkiye U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.07
Over Pick
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.94
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
27%
3.15
6+
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç U21 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.50/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.31
+28% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
12.3 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç U21
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Türkiye U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 U21
20.11.2018 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 2-3 HT 1-2 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 HAZ
06.02.2013 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 2-0 HT 2-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç U21
5-1
AWAY Türkiye U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Norveç U21 vs Türkiye U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç U21 swept aside Türkiye U21 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norveç U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norveç U21 had 51% of the ball to Türkiye U21's 49%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkiye U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norveç U21 and 2.00 for Türkiye U21.

What was the final score of Norveç U21 vs Türkiye U21?

Norveç U21 5-1 Türkiye U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç U21 vs Türkiye U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norveç U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Norveç U21 51%, draw 24%, Türkiye U21 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norveç U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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