San Marino U21 0-3 Letonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
17%
5.71
Away Pick
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.84
2-3
36%
1.93
4-5
28%
2.8
6+
13%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.84 — our 23% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
55%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Letonya U21 win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
6%
+10.3pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.1pp
67%
Away Win
80%
-12.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marino U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya U21 EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.18/5.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/0.00
-68% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
0.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
4.1 Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Marino U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Letonya U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.06.2023 Letonya U21 Letonya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 San Marino U21 San Marino U21 U21
29.03.2022 San Marino U21 San Marino U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya U21 Letonya U21 U21
07.10.2021 Letonya U21 Letonya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 San Marino U21 San Marino U21 U21
POST-MATCH San Marino U21 vs Letonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya U21 cruised past San Marino U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Letonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Letonya U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for San Marino U21 and 1.33 for Letonya U21.

What was the final score of San Marino U21 vs Letonya U21?

San Marino U21 0-3 Letonya U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marino U21 vs Letonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Letonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split San Marino U21 16%, draw 17%, Letonya U21 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Letonya U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Letonya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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