Gillingham 2-2 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.74
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
19%
4.85
X/2
13%
7.58
X/X
7%
5.0
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
9%
5.45
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.41/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
-9% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 70%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.1 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 299
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
19.08.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
04.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
22.11.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
10.08.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İNLK
08.09.2020 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
2-2
AWAY Crawley Town
2.44 xG 2.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
133 Passes 326
59% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Crawley Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gillingham had 38% of the ball to Crawley Town's 62%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.44 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gillingham and 0.83 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Crawley Town?

Gillingham 2-2 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 50%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gillingham), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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