Leiston 3-0 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
2.15/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stamford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.02.2025 Stamford Stamford 0-2 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
02.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Stamford Stamford 3-0 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Leiston Leiston 3-2 HT 1-2 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
3-0
AWAY Stamford
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston cruised past Stamford 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leiston had 53% of the ball to Stamford's 47%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leiston and 1.50 for Stamford.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Stamford?

Leiston 3-0 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leiston 54%, draw 20%, Stamford 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ BTTS Yes
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