Casarano 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 54%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.86
+43% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
1-0
AWAY Catania
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano edged past Catania 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Casarano had 39% of the ball to Catania's 61%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Catania?

Casarano 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Casarano 30%, draw 26%, Catania 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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