Lumezzane 3-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.24/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-3 HT 2-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
01.09.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
08.01.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-3 HT 0-2 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
04.09.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 2-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
05.01.2014 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
3-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane saw off Pro Vercelli 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Lumezzane made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 36% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 64%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Lumezzane and 2.60 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Lumezzane 3-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 39%, draw 28%, Pro Vercelli 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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