Cittadella 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
0.77/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.88
-51% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cittadella had 48% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Cittadella 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 51%, draw 28%, Arzignano Valchiampo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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