Vis Pesaro 2-1 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.83
-19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
2-1
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro squeezed past Nuova Monterosi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Vis Pesaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 49% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Nuova Monterosi?

Vis Pesaro 2-1 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 37%, draw 29%, Nuova Monterosi 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
15 Nov 2025
16:30 Pineto vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
16:30 US Latina vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
16:30 Crotone vs Sorrento Calcio Analysis →
16:30 Casarano vs Catania Analysis →
16:30 Picerno vs Siracusa Analysis →
19:30 Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →