İsviçre 4-1 İsveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.95
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
14%
3.93
X/2
4%
11.8
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
9%
10.25
2/X
9%
18.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsviçre EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.66/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.64
+81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
13.0 Crosses 14.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsviçre
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İsveç
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
476 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2025 İsveç İsveç 0-2 HT 0-0 İsviçre İsviçre DKE
03.07.2018 İsveç İsveç 1-0 HT 0-0 İsviçre İsviçre DK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsviçre
4-1
AWAY İsveç
1.70 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
476 Passes 320
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İsviçre vs İsveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsviçre ran out comfortable winners over İsveç 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İsviçre as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İsviçre had 59% of the ball to İsveç's 41%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.70 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İsviçre and 0.50 for İsveç.

What was the final score of İsviçre vs İsveç?

İsviçre 4-1 İsveç in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsviçre vs İsveç?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsviçre win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İsviçre 55%, draw 27%, İsveç 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsviçre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İsviçre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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