Lihtenştayn 0-1 Galler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
73%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.0
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
3.34
No
48%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
10.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.59
4-5 Goals
28%
2.29
6+ Goals
17%
3.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
35.0
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
9%
35.0
X/2
8%
4.3
X/X
6%
24.0
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
56%
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.8pp
12%
Draw
11%
+0.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
26%
+26.0pp
48%
BTTS No
74%
-26.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler EU Bookmakers 97%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.05/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.21
-88% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 86%
5.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
3.6 Crosses 25.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lihtenştayn
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Galler
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.00 xG 2.61
21% Ball Possession 79%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
110 Passes 640
57% Pass Accuracy 91%
0 Box Touches 54
0 Crosses 50
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.06.2025 Galler Galler 3-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
14.10.2009 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-2 HT 0-1 Galler Galler DKE
11.10.2008 Galler Galler 2-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lihtenştayn
0-1
AWAY Galler
0.44 xG 2.85
22% Ball Possession 78%
3 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
131 Passes 640
66% Pass Accuracy 92%
3 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lihtenştayn vs Galler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler squeezed past Lihtenştayn 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galler as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lihtenştayn had 22% of the ball to Galler's 78%, shots finished 3-18, expected goals 0.44 to 2.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galler's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Galler led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lihtenştayn and 2.33 for Galler.

What was the final score of Lihtenştayn vs Galler?

Lihtenştayn 0-1 Galler in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lihtenştayn vs Galler?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Lihtenştayn 15%, draw 12%, Galler 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galler) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galler) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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