Türkiye 2-0 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

Türkiye
2-0 HT 1-0
Bulgaristan
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Türkiye vs Bulgaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.01
2-3 Goals
38%
2.22
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
17%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.23
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
32.5
X/1
26%
3.95
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
7%
12.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
4%
33.0
2/X
4%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-6.1pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye v Bulgaristan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.14/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/3.01
+54% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -26%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
450 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 79%
53.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.8
35.0 Crosses 5.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4

Türkiye vs Bulgaristan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Bulgaristan
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 0.41
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
628 Passes 121
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-6 HT 1-1 Türkiye Türkiye DKE
08.06.2015 Türkiye Türkiye 4-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
29.05.2012 Türkiye Türkiye 2-0 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
17.08.2005 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 3-1 HT 3-1 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ

Türkiye 2-0 Bulgaristan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye
2-0
AWAY Bulgaristan
2.56 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
480 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye beat Bulgaristan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkiye had 67% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 33%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.56 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Türkiye had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Türkiye and 1.00 for Bulgaristan.

What was the final score of Türkiye vs Bulgaristan?

Türkiye 2-0 Bulgaristan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 76%, draw 16%, Bulgaristan 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye) ✗ Over 2.5
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