Kazakistan 1-1 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
78%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
29.0
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
3%
31.0
X/2
24%
3.74
X/X
7%
9.6
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
43%
1.31
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
6%
+0.8pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.8pp
78%
Away Win
81%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 85%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.65/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.70
-12% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -30%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
202 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 84%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 49.7
15.0 Crosses 26.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Belçika
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.19 xG 3.14
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
253 Passes 683
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 55
4 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2025 Belçika Belçika 6-0 HT 2-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan DKE
13.10.2019 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-2 HT 0-1 Belçika Belçika AVŞE
08.06.2019 Belçika Belçika 3-0 HT 2-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVŞE
07.10.2011 Belçika Belçika 4-1 HT 2-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVR
08.10.2010 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-2 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika AVR
12.09.2007 Kazakistan Kazakistan 2-2 HT 1-2 Belçika Belçika AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan
1-1
AWAY Belçika
0.45 xG 2.87
23% Ball Possession 77%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 12
142 Passes 588
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 69
8 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kazakistan vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazakistan and Belçika couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Belçika at 78% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kazakistan had 23% of the ball to Belçika's 77%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.45 to 2.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belçika led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kazakistan and 3.17 for Belçika.

What was the final score of Kazakistan vs Belçika?

Kazakistan 1-1 Belçika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan 7%, draw 15%, Belçika 78%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belçika) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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