Gürcistan 0-4 İspanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

Gürcistan
0-4 HT 0-3
İspanya
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Gürcistan vs İspanya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.95
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
71%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.88 — our 25% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
18.5
1/2
9%
22.25
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
5%
21.3
X/2
20%
3.84
X/X
6%
8.43
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
41%
1.45
2/X
6%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+2.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
70%
Away Win
74%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gürcistan v İspanya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya EU Bookmakers 79%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.88/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.32
+150% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
237 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 86%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.1
13.0 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Gürcistan vs İspanya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan
0W-0D-6L
AWAY İspanya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.31 xG 2.79
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
180 Passes 742
72% Pass Accuracy 92%
6 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.10.2025 İspanya İspanya 2-0 HT 1-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
30.06.2024 İspanya İspanya 4-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVR
19.11.2023 İspanya İspanya 3-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVŞE
08.09.2023 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-7 HT 0-4 İspanya İspanya AVŞE
05.09.2021 İspanya İspanya 4-0 HT 3-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
28.03.2021 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-2 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya DKE

Gürcistan 0-4 İspanya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan
0-4
AWAY İspanya
0.26 xG 3.52
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 580
85% Pass Accuracy 92%
18 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gürcistan vs İspanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya swept aside Gürcistan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gürcistan had 39% of the ball to İspanya's 61%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.26 to 3.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gürcistan and 3.67 for İspanya.

What was the final score of Gürcistan vs İspanya?

Gürcistan 0-4 İspanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan vs İspanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 12%, draw 17%, İspanya 70%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ BTTS No
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