İspanya 2-0 Gürcistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.18
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.44
2-3 Goals
41%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.28
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
27.5
X/1
25%
3.89
X/2
2%
30.0
X/X
6%
10.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.25
2/2
2%
25.5
2/X
3%
32.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
80%
-0.5pp
14%
Draw
13%
+1.2pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.70/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.47
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +32%
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
562 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 77%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.9 Crosses 12.8
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gürcistan
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.59 xG 0.37
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
740 Passes 193
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 İspanya İspanya 4-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVR
19.11.2023 İspanya İspanya 3-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVŞE
08.09.2023 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-7 HT 0-4 İspanya İspanya AVŞE
05.09.2021 İspanya İspanya 4-0 HT 3-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
28.03.2021 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-2 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
07.06.2016 İspanya İspanya 0-1 HT 0-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
2-0
AWAY Gürcistan
3.83 xG 0.01
83% Ball Possession 17%
24 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
755 Passes 110
93% Pass Accuracy 64%
47 Box Touches 0
27 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Gürcistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya saw off Gürcistan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İspanya had 83% of the ball to Gürcistan's 17%, shots finished 24-1, expected goals 3.83 to 0.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for İspanya and 0.83 for Gürcistan.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Gürcistan?

İspanya 2-0 Gürcistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Gürcistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split İspanya 80%, draw 14%, Gürcistan 6%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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