Izarra 1-1 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.42/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.07
+17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Izarra Izarra 2-0 HT 1-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
01.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 2-3 HT 0-2 Izarra Izarra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
1-1
AWAY Barbastro
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra and Barbastro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Izarra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Izarra had 69% of the ball to Barbastro's 31%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Izarra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Izarra and 1.00 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Barbastro?

Izarra 1-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Izarra 42%, draw 28%, Barbastro 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Izarra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Izarra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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