Utebo 2-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.12/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.87
+64% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Calahorra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2024 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
30.09.2023 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utebo vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo squeezed past CD Calahorra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Utebo had 65% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 35%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Utebo and 0.50 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Utebo vs CD Calahorra?

Utebo 2-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utebo 42%, draw 28%, CD Calahorra 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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